Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 911.058813 1034.301675 1172.965356 1341.497468 1542.082441 1774.786670 2067.529047
2025-03-16 723.236182 882.106872 1078.360639 1342.485352 1694.706745 2157.182359 2825.847920
2025-03-23 630.828381 806.046124 1036.274047 1368.537858 1849.026408 2540.824758 3656.382078
2025-03-30 544.179236 718.685602 958.384717 1322.606835 1882.716046 2749.590851 4277.826864
2025-04-06 479.787740 650.758941 894.247898 1280.407456 1906.104764 2937.540571 4908.457086
2025-04-13 426.887856 591.801651 833.789987 1231.624528 1905.744291 3080.197434 5494.093960
2025-04-20 405.310120 575.576433 833.847548 1276.027839 2064.835955 3531.517474 6825.402676
2025-04-27 380.709229 551.689855 818.436958 1291.346250 2173.884569 3913.632712 8156.346033
2025-05-04 358.389093 528.841246 801.589442 1300.812024 2272.351235 4297.014278 9650.904799
2025-05-11 338.061786 507.080152 783.838416 1305.499105 2361.313398 4681.604344 11327.429520
2025-05-18 326.882698 499.059960 788.141480 1350.933778 2541.086997 5320.385394 14070.682700
2025-05-25 315.802815 490.070563 789.542132 1390.548968 2715.942752 6000.526398 17384.905191
2025-06-01 302.085570 475.872025 781.012283 1411.079654 2857.145482 6654.236791 21159.287201
2025-06-08 286.445718 457.118144 762.439265 1408.823578 2946.002537 7200.420654 25015.569510
2025-06-15 276.073957 446.789956 758.460186 1436.666197 3114.782543 8046.624443 31076.744053
2025-06-22 257.675023 420.557578 721.611897 1387.815123 3077.212119 8233.856018 34092.193538
2025-06-29 241.408894 397.138483 688.316171 1342.963284 3042.356628 8422.936925 37384.652225
2025-07-06 225.778875 373.923897 653.652835 1291.144511 2979.725796 8499.836096 40161.626680
2025-07-13 221.639894 371.910379 661.171935 1338.309753 3205.814534 9722.387633 52489.167923
2025-07-20 214.683438 364.035950 656.020202 1354.587350 3346.371205 10689.663850 64991.622642
2025-07-27 207.625636 355.482762 648.712170 1364.647450 3471.052222 11659.611896 79964.801300
2025-08-03 200.599374 346.532524 639.819256 1369.629271 3581.642652 12632.502284 97924.384085
2025-08-10 197.596210 345.312782 647.359781 1417.936430 3847.660447 14506.672156 134249.958595